THE VOICE OF BUSINESS IN NORTHERN MINDANAO

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Philippines Markets: 19 October 2010



19 October 2010

USD/PhP: 43.40 + 0.165 PSEi: 4191.25 - 24.03
USD/JPY: 81.40 PFINC: 942.17 + 4.69
EUR/USD: 1.3920 BDO: 59.95 - 0.05
GBP/USD: 1.5864 BPI: 56.00 unch
PDSTF3M: 3.7673 MBT: 70.00 + 1.50
Prices as of 4:00pm Source: Bloomberg, Reuters


Local shares 0.57% lower

MANILA, Philippines (Xinhua) – The Philippine stock market closed 0.57 percent lower today.

The bellwether Philippine Stock Exchange index lost 24.03 points to 4,191.25, while the broader all-share index slipped by 0.66 percent or 17.70 points to 2,664.58.

Trading volume reached 2.35 billion shares worth P4.48 billion ($103.7 million).

Decliners led advancers 86 to 44 while 54 stocks did not move.

Source: www.philstar.com

Jonathan Ravelas
Chief Market Strategist
(632) 858-3145

Rhys Cruz
Junior Researcher

(632) 858-3001

Philippine Business Conference Downloads

Click here for the Philippine Business Conference Presentation Downloads:

http://philippinechamber.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=299&&Itemid=180

Morning Brief: 19 October 2010



Q3 results better than anticipated, Finance chief says

THIRD-QUARTER fiscal results have turned out better than expected, Finance Secretary Cesar V. Purisima yesterday said.

"It (July-September fiscal performance) was better than my expectations," Mr. Purisima said at the sidelines of Finance and Local Government department event at the Heritage Hotel.

He declined to elaborate.

The government’s budget shortfall was at P228.1 billion as of August, already 70% of the P325-billion full-year target. First and second quarter goals were missed.

With the July result a deficit of P32.7 billion and a P1.3-billion surplus having been recorded in August, the shortfall should have been kept at P45.5 billion in September for the third quarter target to be met.

Budget Secretary Florencio B. Abad has said the government may have incurred a "below the programmed deficit" for July-September, citing improved revenue collections.

The Bureau of Internal Revenue, which accounts for 60% of the government’s total tax revenues, surpassed its target last month by collecting P60.96 billion, higher than the programmed P59.9 billion.

This is expected to help partially offset the Customs bureau’s having missed its P23.358-billion goal for the month by nearly P4 billion.

Third-quarter results will be released later this week.


New capital outflow rules to be issued soon

THE BANGKO SENTRAL ng Pilipinas (BSP) expects to ease rules on capital outflows within the next two weeks, the governor yesterday said, as authorities look to counter appreciation pressure on the peso from strong inflows.

The peso has risen to two and a half-year highs against the dollar, and on the weekend a deputy governor said the central bank was looking at increasing the limits on outbound foreign exchange transactions that could be made without authorization.

Asked by reporters when the new rules would be ready, BSP Governor Amando M. Tetangco, Jr. said "within two weeks". -- Reuters


U.S. Stocks Rise on Citigroup Earnings, Speculation of More Fed Easing

U.S. stocks rose to a five-month high, led by financial shares, after Citigroup Inc.’s earnings topped estimates and an unexpected drop in industrial production added to signs the Federal Reserve will help fuel the recovery.

Citigroup, the bank 12 percent-owned by U.S. taxpayers, rallied 5.4 percent to lead a measure of financial shares to the biggest gain among 10 groups. Hasbro Inc., the second-largest toymaker, advanced 3.8 percent after reporting higher-than- estimated earnings as sales of preschool products gained. Halliburton Co., the second-biggest oilfield-services provider, slumped 4.8 percent as profit missed some analysts’ estimates.

The S&P 500 climbed 0.7 percent to 1,184.71 at 4 p.m. in New York, the highest level since May 3. The gauge gained 1 percent last week after Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the economy may need further stimulus and earnings boosted investor confidence. TheDow Jones Industrial Average rose 80.91 points, or 0.7 percent, to 11,143.69.

“We remain positive on the market based on decent earnings and the Fed’s expected actions,” said Stewart Beach, who oversees $1.1 billion as chief investment strategist at Old Second National Bank in Aurora, Illinois. “Even Citigroup beat earnings, which is kind of amazing considering the problems we’re seeing on the foreclosure front.”

The S&P 500 has rallied 13 percent since Bernanke said at the Fed’s August conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that he has the tools to prevent another recession. The Fed chief said on Oct. 15 that there’s a case for “further action” by the central bank in the form of additional monetary stimulus because inflation is too low and unemployment is too high.


Treasuries Gain on Prospects Federal Reserve Will Step Up Asset Purchases

Treasuries rose, rallying from the biggest weekly slump this year, as an unexpected slide in U.S. industrial production last month bolstered speculation the Federal Reserve will purchase the debt as a way to inject more cash into the economy.

The gains pushed down 10-year Treasury yields from near the highest level this month. Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said he may back a second round of purchases of Treasury securities by the central bank to ensure against the possibility of falling prices. Policy makers meet in two weeks.

“The overriding factor in this market is the anticipation of asset purchases by the Fed,” said Larry Milstein, New York- based managing director of government and agency debt trading at R.W. Pressprich & Co., a fixed-income broker and dealer for institutional investors. “The big question is how big it will be.”

The yield on the 10-year note dropped five basis points, or 0.05 percentage point, to 2.51 percent at 4:34 p.m. in New York, according BGCantor Market Data. The price of the 2.625 percent security due in August 2020 rose 3/8, or $3.75 per $1,000 face amount, to 100 31/32. The yield touched 2.59 percent on Oct. 15, the highest level this month. It increased 17 basis points last week, the most since the period ended Dec. 25.

The 30-year bond yield fell three basis points to 3.95 percent, and the two-year yield touched 0.3508 percent, the least since reaching a record-low 0.3270 on Oct. 12.


Crude Oil, Gasoline Futures Climb the Most in Two Weeks on French Strike

Crude oil and gasoline rose the most in two weeks as a strike in France curbed supplies in Europe’s second-biggest fuel market.

Oil climbed 2.3 percent, the most since Sept. 30, as French truckers blocked highways and officials said they’d use police to prevent strikers from cutting fuel supplies as the standoff hardened over President Nicolas Sarkozy’s plans to raise the retirement age to 62. With the country’s refineries on strike, industry groups said 15 percent of service stations are dry.

“The length and duration of the French refinery strike is becoming a material event for the refined-product markets,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC, a New York- based hedge fund focusing on energy. “This product strength is lending strength to crude oil prices.”

Crude oil for November delivery increased $1.83 to settle at $83.08 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices declined as much as 90 cents earlier today. Futures are up 5.8 percent from a year ago.



Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters, www.inquirer.net, www.philstar.com, www.bworldonline.com, www.cnnmoney.com

Jonathan Ravelas
Chief Market Strategist
(632) 858-3145

Rhys Cruz
Junior Researcher

(632) 858-3001
Share |


Oro Chamber on Facebook