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Friday, September 30, 2011

Philippine Markets: 30 September 2011

30 September 2011
USD/PhP:    43.84                     PSEi:       3,999.65   +122.02
USD/JPY:    76.65                     PFINC:        917.78   + 28.08
EUR/USD:    1.3559                   BDO:            51.00   + 2.10
GBP/USD:    1.5605.                  BPI:              55.80   + 2.30
PDSTF3M:    2.9627                  MBT:             67.00   + 1.70
Prices as of  12:00pm              Source: Bloomberg, Reuters
Philippine Interest Rate Outlook
Secondary money market rates were lower this week as risk aversion wanes
On positive sentiments coming out of the Euro Zone.
Continue to expect rates to remain volatile in the near- term.
Philippine Equities Outlook
Local share prices  rose 2.90 percent week-on-week to 3999.65 as risk aversion
wanes on positive developments from the Euro zone in order to save Greece from
Default.
Chart wise, the week's close at 3999.65 is viewed as a mere rebound.  A clear break
above 4,250 is needed to put the bulls back to play. Failure for the market to test said
levels could call for a retest of the 3,800 levels.
Philippine Peso Outlook
The local currency depreciated for the fifth straight week to 43.84(as of 12:00pm) .
This is primarily due the US dollar continued strength against the regional 
currencies as global Risk aversion persists in the near-term.
Chartwise, with the currency's continued stay above the 43. 60 levels, 
supports last week's view call for s near-term test of the 44.00-44.50 levels in the near-term.
Cheers,
Jonas
Jonathan L.Ravelas
Chief Market Strategist
BDO Unibank, Inc.
Direct: +6328583145

Thursday, September 29, 2011

OroChamber conducts livelihood training


THE Cagayan de Oro Chamber of Commerce and Industry Foundation Inc. (OroChamber) will be holding livelihood trainings for women in the villages on September 27 at the Barangay Nazareth Hall.
The whole-day activity, which would start at 8 a.m., will be attended by women beneficiaries from Barangays Camaman-an, Gusa and Nazareth.
“The rise in the prices of basic commodities is already over-stretching the purchasing power of every Filipino hence there is a need to enhance the livelihood capability of every family,” said OroChamber Vice President for Agriculture, Mining and Fishery Sector Atty. Zoilo Antonio Velez.
Velez said the Chamber thought of helping augment the income of target families in the city to cope with the steady increase of the prices of basic goods by giving them additional livelihood opportunities.
The training intervention, which is lodged in the Chamber’s Ice on Milk Project, is supported by Representative Maximo Rodriguez of AbaMin party-list, BusinessWeek, National Dairy Authority Region X, Magnum Radio, Parasat Cable, Sun.Star Cagayan de Oro, Mindanao Current and Land O’ Lakes.
During the training, the participants will be taught how to make white cheese, yema and lactoflan, which they can readily sell and earn extra income in the process.
The trainers are experts from NDA-Northern Mindanao and the Northern Mindanao Federation of Dairy Cooperatives.
OroChamber president Tony Uy expects a good number of women-participants during the BIMP-EAGA Trade Fair cum Oro Best Expo 2011 in October as the livelihood session will be staged back-to-back the Dairy Forum.
The October 20 event will also train the next batch of trainees from Puntod and other barangays on relevant milk processing techniques. (PR)
Published in the Sun.Star Cagayan de Oro newspaper

Morning Brief: 29 September 2011

PHILIPPINES

Peso, Asian currencies rebound as Euro gov’ts agree on debt rescue fund

The peso, together with other Asian currencies, recovered on Wednesday, following pronouncements from European governments that they would set up a fund to help in the rescue of debt-ridden countries in the eurozone.

The local currency closed at 43.45 against the US dollar, up by 42 centavos from Monday’s close of 43.87:$1. There was no foreign exchange trading on Tuesday, as the typhoon forced markets and banks to close.

Intraday high hit 43.43:$1, while intraday low settled at 43.75:$1. Volume of trade reached $774.77 million, down from $883.2 million previously.

Traders said the announcement from European governments that they would speed up the establishment of the fund, called the European Stability Mechanism, lifted the sentiment of foreign portfolio investors who were previously worried about the probability of a contagion of the European debt woes.

A worsening of the euro debt crisis was believed to adversely affect even better-performing developing economies in Asia, like the Philippines. Developing countries consider Europe as one of their major export markets.
WORLD
U.S. Stocks Retreat as Europe Debt Concern Grows
By Whitney Kisling and Inyoung Hwang
U.S. stocks declined, halting a three-day rally for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, amid growing concern that European leaders are divided over how to handle Greece’s debt crisis.
All 10 industry groups in the S&P 500 fell at least 0.6 percent, with companies most-tied to economic growth dropping the most. Dow Chemical Co. (DOW) and Alcoa Inc. (AA) slid at least 4.9 percent as commodities tumbled. Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Corp. (BAC) lost more than 4.9 percent, pacing declines among financial shares. Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) rose 2.5 percent after the company launched its Kindle Fire tablet computer, taking aim at Apple Inc.’s bestselling iPad.
The S&P 500 lost 2.1 percent to 1,151.06 at 4 p.m. New York time, after rising as much as 0.8 percent earlier and rallying 4.1 over the previous three days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 179.79 points, or 1.6 percent, to 11,010.90 today, with all 30 stocks retreating.
Europe is the issue that is first and foremost in everyone’s mind, so any news that comes out on that does have a strong impact on the market,” Peter Jankovskis, who helps manage about $2.6 billion at Oakbrook Investments in Lisle, Illinois, said in a telephone interview. “Any weakness there is going to be a drag worldwide.”
A four-day rout last week erased $1 trillion from U.S. equities amid concern Greek insolvency is inevitable and Europe can’t contain the damage. The decline left the S&P 500 trading at 12.4 times earnings in the past 12 months, 4.4 percent below its average valuation at the lowest point during the last nine bear markets, Bloomberg data shows.
Bigger Writedowns
Stocks fell today as an official said the European Commission is resisting a push to impose bigger writedowns on banks’ holdings of Greek government debt than those agreed at a July 21 summit. The commission opposes ideas that are being floated by some government officials to get banks to accept bigger so-called haircuts and doesn’t want to have talks about any such attempt, the official said on condition of anonymity because the deliberations are private.
Italian and Spanish financial market regulators extended temporary bans on short selling of financial shares that were introduced last month in a bid to stem market volatility, the European Securities and Markets Authority said.
The S&P 500 had climbed over the past three days amid optimism that euro-area nations were making progress on plans to tame the region’s government debt crisis.
‘Pins and Needles’
“The market is on pins and needles over the whole European debt problem,” Thomas Garcia, head of equity trading at Santa Fe, New Mexico-based Thornburg Investment Management Inc., which oversees about $75 billion, said in an e-mail. “Every new rumor or little piece of news moves the market in one direction or the other a percent or two. It’s frustrating!”
Stocks rose earlier today as a Commerce Department report showed orders for U.S. capital goods climbed in August by the most in three months, a sign business investment continues to support the recovery. Bookings for goods like computers and communications gear, excluding military hardware and aircraft, climbed 1.1 percent, the most since May. Demand for total durable goods dropped 0.1 percent, less than forecast.
The S&P 500 has been trading between about 1,100 and 1,300 since the beginning of August. The benchmark gauge for U.S. equities climbed as high as 1,363.61 on April 29, before starting a decline of as much as 18 percent through August. The index is down 8.5 percent for the year. Strategists estimate it will climb to 1,305 by year-end, representing a 13 percent advance, according to the average in a Bloomberg survey.
Commodity Companies
Raw-material companies fell the most among 10 groups in the S&P 500 today, tumbling 4.5 percent. Energy shares lost 3 percent as a group, as the Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 commodities fell 2.5 percent. The Morgan Stanley (MS) Cyclical Index of companies most-tied to the economy lost 3.3 percent. The Dow Jones Transportation Average, a proxy for the economy, lost 2.9 percent.
Alcoa fell 4.9 percent to $9.97. Dow Chemical, the largest U.S. chemical maker, slid 6.2 percent to $23.76.
The KBW Bank Index lost 3.5 percent, with Morgan Stanley falling 5.4 percent to $14.16. Bank of America slid 4.9 percent to $6.16, for the largest decline today for the Dow. A group of S&P 500 financial shares have plunged 27 percent since the April high, the biggest drop among the 10 industry groups. Utilities companies have been the only group to gain, adding 1.2 percent in the same period.
Amazon.com shares rose 2.5 percent, the second-most in the S&P 500, to $229.71. The world’s largest online retailer introduced its Kindle Fire, a device that’s smaller and less than half the price of Apple’s iPad. Chief Executive Officer Jeff Bezos is betting he can leverage Amazon’s dominance in e- commerce to pose a challenge to the iPad, after tablets from rivals such as Hewlett-Packard Co. and Research In Motion Ltd. have fallen short.
Jabil Circuit Inc., gained the most in the benchmark index, adding 8.4 percent to $18.84. The U.S. contract electronics manufacturer forecast first-quarter earnings will be at least 62 cents a share, exceeding the average analyst projection, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
COMMODITIES
Commodities Drop on Growth Risk, Deepening Worst Quarterly Loss Since 2008
By Elizabeth Campbell
Commodities fell, widening their biggest quarterly loss since 2008, as Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis threatened to slow global growth and reduce raw-material demand.
The Standard & Poor’s GSCI Spot Index slid 2.3 percent to 605.79 at 1:34 p.m. in New York. Since June 30, the gauge is down 9.4 percent, the most since a 44 percent plunge at the end of 2008 during the worst recession since the 1930s. Crude oil fell as much as 3.8 percent today in New York, while copper retreated as much as 7.6 percent.
The MSCI World (MXWO) Index of equities headed for the first decline in four sessions amid increasing concern that European leaders are divided on how to handle the region’s debt woes. A report tomorrow may confirm European consumer confidence dropped to a two-year low in September. Last week, a preliminary index of purchasing managers in China, the biggest consumer of everything from energy to copper, indicated manufacturing contraction.
“Concern for global growth and bad charts have kind of thrown some water on the commodities bull market here,” Walter “Bucky” Hellwig, who helps oversee $17 billion at BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama, said in a telephone interview.
The GSCI has slumped 21 percent since reaching a 32-month high on April 11. Investors have sold raw materials on concern the global economy is slowing three years after the global financial crisis that shut banks and spurred economic contractions.
Dollar, Confidence
The dollar rose for the first time this week against a basket of six major currencies, diminishing the investment appeal of raw materials. Confidence among U.S. consumers stagnated in September near a two-year low as the share of households saying that it was difficult to find a job climbed to the highest level in almost three decades, a report said yesterday.
Most advanced nations are lapsing back into recession, while the U.S. is already in the throes of an economic contraction, according to Nouriel Roubini, the chairman of Roubini Global Economics LLC.
Copper futures for December delivery fell 19.3 cents, or 5.6 percent, to settle at $3.2465 a pound at 1:16 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Crude-oil futures for November delivery slid 3.8 percent to $81.27 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Odds of Recession
The drop in copper indicates “the odds of a recession are still apparent,” Adam Klopfenstein, a senior market strategist at MF Global Holdings Inc. in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. “Even if the euro zone gets some money together to cause contagion fears to subside, it still means slower growth in the near term as the world economy is still digesting a deleveraging atmosphere.”
Money managers cut the combined net-long position across 18 futures and options by 20 percent in the week ended Sept. 20, the most since February 2010, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission show.
Gold futures for December delivery fell 2.1 percent to settle at $1,618.10 an ounce on the Comex. On the Chicago Board of Trade, wheat futures for December delivery 2.1 percent to $6.44 a bushel.

Morning Brief: 28 September 2011

PHILIPPINES

Stormy labor row halts 172 PAL Flights

Thousands of passengers were stranded Tuesday as Philippine Airlines (PAL) canceled all flights to and from Manila after its employees refused to work in a last-ditch effort to save their jobs.

A total of 102 international flights and 70 domestic flights, which were supposed to carry around 14,000 passengers, were affected by the PAL Employees’ Association’s (Palea) protest.

The strike added to the travel chaos brought on by Typhoon “Pedring,” which made landfall earlier in the day and prompted the suspension of other domestic flights, ferry services and railway operations.

Members of Palea stopped working at 7 a.m. in protest of the company’s scheduled job cuts by the end of the week, forcing the Lucio Tan-led carrier to halt operations.

Employees reported for work but stopped refueling planes, moving cargo and manning check-in  counters—among other jobs—leaving thousands of passengers stuck at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Terminal 2 in Manila.

PAL’s management said flights would resume by 6 Tuesday night, starting with PR 145 to Iloilo.

PAL condemned what it described was  illegal work stoppage, noting that those who participated in the protest would face administrative and criminal charges.

“About 300 PAL ground workers on duty at the airport suddenly refused to perform their official functions in the ramp, check-in counters and catering areas. Our lawyers are preparing the appropriate charges to be filed against these workers,” said PAL president Jaime J. Bautista.
Bautista said operations should be back to normal by Wednesday. The termination of the services of Palea members will take effect on Friday.

Apology
Affected passengers were endorsed on flights of other airlines, while others were transferred to hotels.
“Those who want to rebook or a refund of their tickets can proceed to PAL ticket offices,” PAL said in an advisory.
“PAL apologizes for the inconvenience as the airline goes through the difficult process of outsourcing its non-core services,” the airline added.
Palea president Gerry Rivera also apologized to passengers affected by the work stoppage.
The union official said the employees were left with no choice but to move to protect their jobs.
“Any inconvenience brought about by the protest is temporary. Ultimately the safe and efficient operation of PAL is guaranteed if employees are regular not contractual,” Rivera said at a press conference.
Palea’s work stoppage, which the union refuses to call a strike, is in protest of PAL’s plan to close down three departments, namely its call center reservations, in-flight catering and airport services, by the end of the week.
The 2,600 employees covered by the job cuts were offered positions at the third-party service providers that will replace the three closed departments. The companies are Sky Kitchen, Sky Logistics and SPi Global Holdings.
Palea claims that less than 15 percent of its members agreed to receive retirement benefits, while only 7 percent accepted jobs with the third-party companies.
PAL’s outsourcing plan, which was approved by the labor department and the Office of the President, is under appeal in the Court of Appeals. Palea has said the job cuts should not be carried out pending resolution of its appeal.

Replacement employees
At a separate briefing, PAL said it already had replacement employees to take the places of those who walked out. The new workers are made up of volunteers from the airline’s administrative staff and employees of the new service providers.

Bautista said the 2,600 workers to be affected by the outsourcing would be placed on leave with pay and would no longer be allowed inside the airport on October 1, when their termination takes effect.

But the 300 workers who took part in the work stoppage on Tuesday will have to face administrative and criminal charges. “We will hold them accountable,” the PAL president said.

Republic Act No. 9497, which created the Civil Aviation Authority of the Philippines, says that any person “who will cause disruptions in airport operations will be criminally liable.”

Conciliators
If found guilty, Palea members face as many as three years in prison and fines of up to P500,000 per person. Those who joined the work stoppage will also lose their retirement benefits, PAL said.

“We are ready to face any and all charges that they want to file against us,” Rivera said.

Labor Secretary Rosalinda Baldoz sent a team of conciliators to Ninoy Aquino International Airport to try to reconcile PAL management and the ground crew.
In a statement, Secretary Herminio Coloma of the Presidential Communications and Operations Office said President Aquino had directed Executive Secretary Paquito Ochoa to supervise efforts of the labor department, Civil Aviation Authority of the Philippines and Manila International Airport Authority in working closely with PAL management to resolve the matter.
Noting that the government was adhering to the rule of law in addressing

Palea’s stand on outsourcing, Coloma called on the union “to do the same.”
In Cebu, the work stoppage forced hundreds of passengers to either rebook their flights to another date or to arrange flights with other airline companies. Four flights for Manila and five flights from Manila were canceled between 7 a.m. and 6 p.m. on Tuesday.

Passengers disembark
Mary Ann Dimabayao, public affairs manager of Mactan Cebu International Airport, said the flight cancellation came when passengers of the PR 848 had already checked in for departure at 8:05 a.m.

“The passengers were ordered to disembark at the arrival area and retrieve their luggage at the baggage carousel,” Dimabayao said.

She said the passengers were told that they could have their tickets rebooked at different PAL ticketing stations and that the management would waive rebooking and other fees.

Each canceled flight had more than 100 to 200 passengers depending on the plane’s capacity, said Eutiquio  Bulambot, a Palea board member in Cebu and a regular worker for 35 years.

Bulambot, who is assigned at the check-in counter of PAL at the airport, said Palea members just wanted to protect their rights. There are more than 200 Palea members in Cebu.

CBA suspension
The dispute between PAL and Palea dates back to 1998 when Palea agreed to an unprecedented deal with management to suspend negotiations for new collective bargaining agreements (CBA) for 10 years, giving PAL the financial flexibility to return to profitability.

The airline was suffering massive losses due to the Asian financial crisis at the time, made worse by a pilot strike, which forced the airline to close down for several days.

PAL was forced to enter corporate rehabilitation and to  trim down its fleet after being faced with dollar loans that had become harder to pay due to the
peso’s sharp depreciation. When the CBA moratorium expired in 2008, PAL announced its plan to outsource the three departments.

Industry-wide trend
Bautista said the outsourcing of “noncore” units was an industry-wide trend being implemented by other airlines around the world. Industry profits have fallen steadily due to high fuel prices.

Last year, PAL posted a net income of $72.5 million, but the airline sank back into the red this year, posting a $10.6 million net loss in the April to June period of 2011.

Over the past five years, PAL has also struggled to compete with local budget carriers that have steadily chipped away at the flag carrier’s market share.

From being a virtual monopoly before 1998, PAL is now the second largest airline in the Philippines in terms of passengers flown. The company trails behind the Gokongwei family’s Cebu Pacific.
With reports from AFP, Philip C. Tubeza and Christian Esguerra in Manila, and Jhunnex Napallacan, Inquirer Visaya

WORLD

U.S. Stocks Advance, Trimming Gains in Final Hour, on Greece
By Rita Nazareth
U.S. stocks rose, with benchmark indexes weathering a final-hour selloff, after Greece made progress in meeting requirements for more international aid and Germany vowed continued support for the country.
All 10 groups in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose as gains were led by commodity and industrial shares. Dow Chemical Co. (DOW) and United Technologies Corp. (UTX) climbed at least 2.2 percent to pace a rally in companies most-tied to the economy. Financial stocks pared gains as the Financial Times reported that some euro-area countries are demanding private creditors take bigger writedowns on their Greek bond holdings. Bank of America Corp. (BAC) reversed a 3.8 percent advance, falling 1.8 percent.
The S&P 500 increased 1.1 percent to 1,175.38 at 4 p.m. New York time, rising 4.1 percent in three days, the biggest gain over that same period since Aug. 30. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 146.83 points, or 1.3 percent, to 11,190.69 today.
“The chorus is getting louder that Europe needs to do something,” James Dunigan, who helps oversee $109 billion as chief investment officer in Philadelphia for PNC Wealth Management, said in a telephone interview. “If we step away from the edge and avoid a recession, then there’s no doubt there’s value there.”
A four-day rout last week erased $1 trillion from U.S. equities amid concern Greek insolvency is inevitable and Europe can’t contain the damage. The decline left the S&P 500 trading at 12.4 times earnings in the past 12 months, 4.4 percent below its average valuation at the lowest point during the last nine bear markets, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
‘Hospital Patient’
“Think of Europe as a hospital patient,” David Sowerby, a Bloomfield Hills, Michigan-based portfolio manager at Loomis Sayles & Co., which oversees $150 billion, said in a phone interview. “There are lots of doctors in the room, but no clear-cut remedy.”
The MSCI All-Country World Index rallied 2.9 percent. German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Greece is ready to fulfill the conditions laid down by the so-called troika assessing Greek progress at meeting the terms of its international rescue. Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou won parliamentary backing for a property tax to meet deficit-reduction targets required to avoid default.
European leaders “finally get it,” Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Mohamed El-Erian said in a radio interview with Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt on “Bloomberg Surveillance.” “Let’s not underestimate both the political challenges and the engineering challenges.”
Absorb Bigger Losses
The Financial Times reported that as many as seven of the 17 nations using the euro believe private creditors should absorb bigger losses on their Greek bond holdings, a division that may threaten an agreement reached with private investors in July. The paper cited unnamed senior European officials.
The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index of companies most-tied to the economy added 2.2 percent. The Dow Jones Transportation Average, a proxy for the economy, gained 1.6 percent. Dow Chemical rose 4.4 percent to $25.59. United Technologies climbed 2.2 percent to $73.15.
PulteGroup Inc., the largest U.S. homebuilder by revenue, added 1.2 percent to $4.16, as a report showed that home prices in the U.S. fell less than forecast. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values in 20 cities fell 4.1 percent in July from the same month in 2010, after a revised 4.4 percent drop in the 12 months to June. The median forecast of 28 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected a 4.4 percent drop.
Bank of America
Financial shares in the S&P 500 pared a gain of as much as 3.2 percent, rising 0.4 percent. The KBW Bank Index (BKX) lost 0.1 percent, reversing an advance of 3.3 percent. Bank of America declined 1.8 percent, the most in the Dow, to $6.48. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) lost 0.3 percent to $31.57 after rallying as much as 4.7 percent.
The S&P 500 has climbed 5.5 percent since falling as low as 1,114.22 on Sept. 22, the first time this month it slipped below its closing level of 1,119.46 on Aug. 8. The index is within 3.5 percent of erasing its 6.5 percent loss for last week, the biggest since the period ended Aug. 5, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Stocks rose today even as a report showed that confidence among U.S. consumers stagnated in September near a two-year low as the share of households saying it was difficult to find a job climbed to the highest level in almost three decades.
Most advanced economies are lapsing back into recession while the U.S. is already in the throes of an economic contraction, according to Nouriel Roubini, co-founder and chairman of Roubini Global Economics LLC.
‘Hard and Soft’
“The way I see the global economy, I think we’re entering into a recession again in most advanced economies,” Roubini said in a panel discussion today at the Bloomberg Dealmakers Summit in New York. “I think we’re already into one in the U.S. based on the hard and soft data -- same with most of the euro zone, same with the United Kingdom.”
Walgreen Co. (WAG) slumped 6.3 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $33.77. The largest U.S. drugstore chain said failure to renew a contract to provide prescriptions for Express Scripts Inc. (ESRX)’s customers will reduce its fiscal 2012 earnings. The company said it’s made “no substantial progress” in negotiating a renewal of the contract with Express Scripts, a manager of drug benefits. The contract, worth more than $5 billion in annual drug sales, expires at the end of the year.

COMMODITIES
Commodities Rise Most in Four Months as Concerns Ebb on Europe Debt Crisis
By Elizabeth Campbell and Chanyaporn Chanjaroen

Commodities rose the most in four months, led by metals and energy, on signs that European policy makers will intensify efforts to contain the region’s debt crisis.
The Standard & Poor’s GSCI index of 24 raw materials rose 3.3 percent to 620.02 at 3:45 p.m. New York time, the biggest gain since May 9. Last week, the gauge plunged 8.2 percent.
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou won parliamentary backing for a property tax to meet deficit-reduction targets required to avoid default. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner had predicted that European governments will step up their response to the crisis.
“Some people put some risk trade back on after last week,” Matthew Zeman, a strategist at Kingsview Financial in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. “People are hoping for a solution to the euro zone debt crisis.”
All of the GSCI components posted gains. In London, lead prices jumped the most since August 2009, and nickel rose more than 5 percent. In New York, crude oil posted the biggest increase in four months, and silver climbed the most since July.
The MSCI World (MXWO) Index of equities advanced for the third straight session, and the dollar declined for the second day in a row against a basket of six major currencies, enhancing the investment allure of commodities.
“Hopes of a bailout solution for European banks are prompting a change in sentiment across financial markets, helping energy and base metals to rebound from steep losses,” said Carsten Fritsch, an analyst at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “But the situation is still fragile, given persisting economic concerns, so a renewed price fall cannot be ruled out.”
The GSCI index has dropped 1.9 percent this year. In April, the measure reached a 32-month high.
“The selloff is probably not over,” Tobias Merath, the head of global commodity research at Credit Suisse AG in Zurich, said in a report. “Indicators of funding stress are still showing growing and not easing pressures.”

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Chamber presses police for details

THE president of the Cagayan de Oro Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Oro Chamber) has called on authorities to reveal what they know about the Boniao kidnapping case. Oro Chamber president Antonio Uy said the local business community heaved a sigh of relief over the release of businessman Manny Boniao last Saturday after five days in captivity.
"But what is the motive? That is a question we want the police to answer," Uy said. Uy also urged city police director Senior Supt. Gerardo Rosales to brief and tell the local business community the real story. He said businessmen want to know the city's security status. "Despite the release of Manny Boniao, we still advise our members to be more cautious, more vigilant, and shun away from public gatherings para malikay sa mga dautan," Uy said.

But reliable sources told The Gold Star Daily that the reason the police and even Mayor Vicente Emano have not given details is because they, too, are in the dark. Speaking on condition of anonymity, one of the sources said the police only learned of Boniao's release on Sunday morning. Boniao was released--and was allegedly brought home--on Saturday night.

Emano, according to the source, only came to know of Boniao's release while he was in a radio station for a public affairs program on Sunday morning. It was Rosales who informed the mayor.

The source said Emano then instructed Rosales to go to Boniao's house and ask for information. But Rosales, according to the source, failed to see Boniao who was said to be asleep.

The source said this explains why Emano could only give sketchy information and why he has been resorting to motherhood statements since Sunday.

"He (Emano) cannot divulge the details because he has nothing to divulge. None of them (officials) were involved. Only Boniao and the family were involved. You can say that Boniao was the victim and the negotiator at the same time," said the source. Another reliable source corroborated this, and said Boniao may have already left for Manila.

Rosales said he tried to call Boniao yesterday afternoon but failed. "No one's answering the call."

Rosales has admitted that the police were also searching for answers to important questions. He said authorities don't even know where Boniao had been taken by the kidnappers.
 
Rep. Rufus Rodriguez of the city's 2nd District said the police should identify, arrest and bring the kidnappers to court.

Councilor Alvin Calingin said police still need to explain how the kidnappers were able to take Boniao and bring him home just like that.The incident, according to Calingin, has put the city in a bad light. He said the police should explain why the kidnapping took place in the first place.

Calingin said the reported ransom payment--called payment for "board and lodging" by some officials--could encourage more kidnappers into operating in the city.

Councilor Ramon Tabor said, "‘Board and lodging' and ransom are the same thing."

Councilor Roger Abaday, a criminologist, said he feared there would be more kidnappings in the city after Boniao's abduction. He said the kidnappers have seen how profitable and easy it is to snatch businessmen in the city.

Abaday blamed the success of the Boniao kidnappers on what he called as poor intelligence network in the city.

He said police apparently lacked financial support for intelligence information gathering.

Councilor Edgar Cabanlas made an appeal to Mayor Emano: "Tell the truth." Cabanlas said Emano has failed to give the public correct information about the Boniao case.

He expressed alarm over several "high-profile crimes" committed in the city. He said the city council should be updated by the police.

"As elected officials of the city, we have the right to know what is happening in the city," he said.

Rosales, for his part, said Cabanlas should be specific.

"The police office is working diligently on the cases. We are doing our job," Rosales said.
 
Meanwhile, Councilor Alden Bacal said Emano was involved in the Boniao case since the day the businessman was kidnapped.

Bacal said Emano called for an executive meeting at around 11 am the day Boniao was abducted and odered the police to seal off all possible exit points. He said Emano did the same thing after Boniao's release and even directed the police to go after the kidnappers.

"It's not true that the mayor did not do anything," said Bacal. wtth reports from herbie gomez

By LITO RULONA, BOBBY LAGSA and ED MALIZA
Correspondents

Philippine Markets: 28 September 2011

28 September 2011

USD/PhP:    43.54( As of 12:00pm)   PSEi:       3883.64           + 164.42
USD/JPY:    76.57             PFINC:              875.64          +
3.68
EUR/USD:    1.3555                  BDO:                 48.00          +
1.75
GBP/USD:    1.5626                  BPI:           53.65          +
2.65
PDSTF3M:    3.6229                  MBT:           61.95           +
1.85
Prices as of  4:00pm                Source: Bloomberg, Reuters


Philippine Peso Gains on Optimism Greece Will Avert Default
By Karl Lester M. Yap

(Bloomberg) -- The Philippine peso advanced the most in three months as
signs of progress in tackling Europe’s debt crisis helped revive demand for
emerging-market assets. Government bonds rose.

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou won support in parliament yesterday
for a new property tax to help raise revenue and narrow the nation’s
budget deficit.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said her nation would help Greece meet
the terms of its bailout.

“People are taking the recent developments in Europe positively,” said
Antonio Espedido, a treasurer at China Banking Corp. in Manila.
“There’s more demand for riskier assets, which is benefiting emerging
markets like the
Philippines.”

The peso gained 0.9 percent to 43.495 per dollar as of 10:26 a.m. in
Manila,
it biggest gain since June 21, according to Tullett Prebon Plc. Currencies
in
Asia’s developing nations strengthened yesterday, when financial markets in
the
Philippines were shut yesterday due to a typhoon.

The yield on the government’s 5.875 percent bonds due January 2018
dropped 10 basis points, or 0.1 percentage point, to 5.4 percent,
according to Tradition Financial Services.






BDO UNIBANK, INC.

Jonathan Ravelas
Chief Market Strategist
(632) 858-3145

Scheduled Power Interruption on Saturday, October 1, 2011

CAGAYAN ELECTRIC POWER & LIGHT CO., INC
 
Important Notice to CEPALCO Customers
Subject: Scheduled Power Interruption on Saturday, October 1, 2011
 
The Cagayan Electric Power & Light Co., Inc. (CEPALCO) would like to inform all customers that power supply will be interrupted on OCTOBER 1, 2011 as shown below:
 
Reasons:
FACILITATE THE RELOCATION OF 34.5KV LINES AND CONVERSION OF 13.8KV LINES ALONG CORRALES AVENUE AFFECTED BY THE DEVELOPMENT AND CONSTRUCTION OF CENTRIO MALL.
 
Date:
 
Saturday, October 1, 2011
Interruption Time:
8:00 AM – 5:00 PM (9 hours)
 
Affected Areas:
PORTION OF CAMAMAN-AN FEEDER #4 (34.5-KV) AREA:
1.   Along Corrales Avenue including portion of Antonio Luna St. towards all of Mabulay Subdivision including Provincial Hospital Area and portion of the Provincial Capitol.
2.   Along Capt. Vicente Roa Street from Jose Rivera St. up to Recto Avenue.
 
 
Power will however be restored immediately without further notice
when line works are completed earlier than scheduled.
 
We hope the affected customers and the public in general
will be guided by this announcement. Thank you.
 
 
 
 
 
Released by:
Ms. Marilyn A. Chavez
Senior Manager
Customer & Community Relations Dept.

Scheduled NGCP Power Interruption on Sunday, October 2, 2011

CAGAYAN ELECTRIC POWER & LIGHT CO., INC
 
Important Notice to CEPALCO Customers
Subject: Scheduled NGCP Power Interruption on Sunday, October 2, 2011
 
The Cagayan Electric Power & Light Co., Inc. (CEPALCO) would like to inform all customers that the National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (NGCP) has advised CEPALCO that power supply will be interrupted on October 2, 2011 as shown below:
 
Reasons:
NATIONAL GRID CORPORATION OF THE PHILIPPINES (NGCP) WILL CONDUCT ANNUAL PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE WORKS OF THE 100-MVA POWER TRANSFORMER AND ITS ASSOCIATED 69KV HIGH VOLTAGE EQUIPMENT AT THEIR APLAYA SUBSTATION. TO MAKE USE OF THE INTERRUPTION, CEPALCO WILL CONDUCT LINE MAINTENANCE WORKS AT OUR TAGOLOAN SUBSTATION AND ALONG VILLANUEVA–JASAAN 34.5/69KV CIRCUITS. TO REDUCE THE IMPACT OF THE SAID INTERRUPTION, CEPALCO WILL SHIFT THE SUPPLY OF TAGOLOAN SUBSTATION TO ANOTHER SOURCE.
 
Date:
 
Sunday, October 2, 2011
A. Interruption Time:
6:00 AM – 6:00 PM (12 hours)
 
Affected Areas:
M2 - NPC APLAYA SUPPLY (JASAAN -TAGOLOAN 69-KV CIRCUIT):
1.  SWL Enterprises, Mohon, Tagoloan.
2.  Resins Inc., Jasaan
3.  Cargill Plant, Villanueva
 
TAGOLOAN FEEDER #2 AREAS (34.5-KV):
1.  All the municipalities and barangays of Villanueva and Jasaan.
2.  All the Barangays of Sta. Cruz, Mohon, Sta. Ana, and Sto. Rosario, Tagoloan including Kimaya, Villanueva.
 
B. Interruption Time:
6:00 AM – 8:00 AM (2 hours) Switching works
4:00 PM – 6:00 PM (2 hours) Switching works
 
Affected Areas:
TAGOLOAN FEEDER #1 AREAS (34.5-KV):
1.  Portion of Natumulan down to Casinglot, Tagoloan.
2.  All the Barangays of Bugo, Puerto, Tin-ao, Agusan, Tablon, Baloy, Cugman, Gusa, and greater portion of Lapasan.
3.  Portion of Lapasan-Camaman-an road from Recto Ave. towards Limketkai Commercial Center including Grand Caprice Restaurant.
4.  All of Osmeña St. and portion of Cogon Market Area including Roxas St. towards portion of JR Borja St..
5.  Upper Gusa, Indahag, Malasag, FS Catanico and Balubal.
6.  Agora Market area including Gaabucayan St..
7.  DMPI plantation, MENZI Agri, etc.
 
TAGOLOAN FEEDER #2 AREAS (34.5-KV):
1.  Portion of Natumulan, greater Tagoloan proper, all the Barangays of Baluarte, Pulot, Sugbongcogon, and Gracia, Tagoloan.
 
 
Power will however be restored immediately without further notice
when line maintenance works of NGCP and CEPALCO are completed earlier than scheduled.
 
We hope the affected customers and the public in general
will be guided by this announcement. Thank you.
 
 
 
Released by:
Ms. Marilyn A. Chavez
Senior Manager
Customer & Community Relations Dept.

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Philippine Markets: 27 September 2011

27 September 2011
USD/PhP:    43.87 + 0.29            PSEi:       3721.22           - 164.74
USD/JPY:    76.31             PFINC:             841.96           -   35.95
EUR/USD:    1.3531                  BDO:         46.25      -   2.25
GBP/USD:    1.5572                  BPI:          51.00      -   2.90
PDSTF3M:    3.9727                  MBT:          60.10            -   1.95
Prices as of  4:00pm                Source: Bloomberg, Reuters
PHILIPPINE MARKETS CLOSED DUE TO TYPHOON
‘Pedring’ slams Luzon; baby drowns

BRAVING ‘PEDRING’. Maintenance crew from the Department of Public Works and
Highways brave strong winds to clear Agham road in Quezon City of fallen
trees caused by Typhoon “Pedring”. Maximum winds of 140 kilometers per hour
with gustiness of up to 170 kilometers per hour have been recorded by the
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services
Administration (Pagasa). MATIKAS SANTOS/INQUIRER.net

MANILA, Philippines – Typhoon “Pedring” (international codename: Nesat)
slammed into the Philippines Tuesday, killing at least one person, a baby,
as it brought heavy rain and strong wind that blew away roofs, uprooted
small trees and toppled power lines.

The Philippines endures about 20 storms annually, many of them deadly, but
authorities warned that Pedring was one of the largest to hit the country
this year with its rain and wind path twice as big as average storms.

“This typhoon is very wide in diameter, about 650 kilometers [400 miles],
and covers most of [the main island of] Luzon,” Science Undersecretary
Graciano Yumul, who supervises the country’s weather bureau, told
reporters.

Pedring hit the northeastern side of Luzon before dawn, bringing maximum
sustained winds of up to 140 kilometers (87 miles) an hour and gusts
clocking in at 170 kilometers an hour.

The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council said a baby
died when he fell into a swollen river in the eastern province of
Catanduanes.

Four other people were missing and there were fears the death toll would
rise throughout the day.
The agricultural provinces of Isabela and Aurora were the most heavily
affected initially, although storm alerts were also hoisted in over 40
other areas, including Metro Manila, the state weather bureau said.
The presidential palace announced the suspension of all classes and work
for government agencies in Manila and other affected areas.
Some roads around Manila, a sprawling megacity of more than 12 million
people, were impassable on Tuesday morning due to flooding and falling
debris, including branches that had been ripped off trees.

The Philippine Stock Exchange also suspended trading, while operations of
Manila’s main overhead railway system ground to a halt due to a power
outage, stranding passengers in the morning rush hour, officials said.

BDO UNIBANK, INC.
Jonathan Ravelas
Chief Market Strategist
(632) 858-3145

Palm oil offers new lifeline for Mindanao


BY MADELAINE FAYE D. CABRERA
Malaya Business Insight
THE Philippines is on the way to becoming a major player in the global palm oil industry, which is dominated by neighbors Malaysia and Indonesia.
In Mindanao, the Department of Environment and Natural Resources has identified at least 304,350 hectares as potential areas for oil palm tree plantations.
Local companies are slowly taking on the challenge after initial forays proved the profitability of the business.
Nakeen Corp., for example, a wholly owned subsidiary of A. Brown Energy and Resources Development Inc., is seeking to expand its plantation to 1,000 hectares by 2012.
Fernando S. Mercurio, operations manager of A. Brown Energy, said palm oil is emerging as a new lifeline for the island of Mindanao.
"And because of that, we plan to expand by 400 hectares more," he said.
The current 600-hectare plantation, which needed P174 million in investments, involves the cultivation of oil palm trees in Sitio Tingalan, Salawaga, Opol, Misamis Oriental.
"A total of 300 hectares has already been planted and our target is 50 hectares per month in planting," Mercurio said.
The area was formerly a ranch.
Nakeen’s application for an additional 400 hectares to be covered by a 25-year lease under the DENR’s Upland Agro-Forestry Program, is awaiting government approval.
"Those lands are found to be timberlands, so we are entering into an agreement with people’s organizations. The deal is called Community-based Forest Management Agreement involving three participants, namely, DENR, A. Brown and people’s agreement," Mercurio said.
Mercurio said A. Brown Energy aims to plant around 10,000 hectares to oil palm trees by 2015.
Manny Boniao and Dr. Rolly Dy of the University of Asia and the Pacific gave the encouragement to Walter Bwron, chairman of the Brown Group, to go into the business of palm oil production.
Dy, who has been studying the production of palm oil in Malaysia and Indonesia, said Mindanao has better climatic conditions, making it an ideal place for the crop.
"Mr. Brown saw it as a sunshine industry," Mercurio said.
Among the provinces in Mindanao, Surigao del Sur has the biggest potential for palm oil plantation with 93,790 hectares.
Bukidnon has 65,090 hectares; Zamboanga del Sur, 31.430 hectares; Surigao del Norte, 31,360 hectares; South Cotabato, 17,000 hectares; Misamis Oriental, 11,440 hectares; Agusan del Norte and Misamis Occidental, 10,370 hectares each; Maguindanao, 9,270 hectares; Zamboanga del Norte, 7,530 hectares; Agusan del Sur, 7,490 hectares; Davao Oriental, 6,220 hectares; Sultan Kudarat, 5,630 hectares; Lanao del Sur, 3,280 hectares; Davao del Norte, 2,070 hectares; Cotabato, 1,180 hectares; and Lanao del Norte, 830 hectares.
Palm oil is a basic ingredient in making soap, cosmetics, ointments, vitamins, and candles, and has plastic and oleo-chemical applications.
Its is used for cooking and baking.
Oil palm trees, which grow up to 30 feet tall and live for 25 years, bear small reddish fruits in large bunches called fresh fruit bunches (FFB).
"Fruiting starts three years from planting. The average weight of FFB is around 25 kilos," said Mercurio.
For A. Brown Energy’s projects, oil palm seedlings will be imported from Thailand and Papua New Guinea while farm inputs such as fertilizer and other inputs will be sourced from local suppliers, Mercurio said.
"We already made our order last August and we order every year. These by the way are germinated seeds. We ordered around 200,000 seeds in 2010. About 100,000 seeds arrived last September 15," he said.
A one-year-old seedling costs around P220.
At present, Philippine demand for palm oil is more than 67,000 metric tons a year and rising sharply, Mercurio said.
"The price of palm oil is getting better. I have noticed that the demand is high but unfortunately the supply is still low," he added.
The major player in the local palm oil industry are Filipinas Palm Plantations Industries Inc., Agusan Plantations Inc. and Kenram Philippines Inc.
The three processors are all located in Mindanao, with an aggregate production capacity of 78 metric tons per hour.
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